Heads up! A few strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be possible late Thursday

The severe threat depends, somewhat, on how much sun we see earlier in the day

FutureTracker - Thursday evening

ROANOKE, Va. – You can feel the little added dose of humidity early Wednesday morning. That, along with the increased clouds, have come ahead of our next storm system. We won’t see much rain out of it Wednesday outside of a few isolated storms later in the day.

Otherwise, expect high temperatures of 70-75° in the higher elevations and 75-80° elsewhere.

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High temperature forecast for Wednesday, June 2, 2021

An increased wind out of the south will keep us muggy overnight with some hit-or-miss showers becoming possible. That same gusty wind at and above the surface brings us to Thursday’s potential for severe thunderstorms.

If we see more clouds and more rain earlier in the day, that would lessen the chance for severe weather. However, if we break out into more sunshine, that would destabilize the atmosphere and allow a better chance for severe thunderstorms.

Two scenarios - Thursday's severe weather threat

That threat would materialize during the afternoon in the form of mainly scattered showers and storms.

FutureTracker - 6 p.m. Thursday

It’s possible that we see a line of stronger thunderstorms even beyond sunset in areas like Lynchburg and Southside, as our actual front moves east.

If severe weather does indeed happen, the main concern would be wind damage. The threat for hail, flash flooding and/or tornadoes is pretty low in this case.

Impact tracker for Thursday, June 3, 2021

Beyond that, we actually turn warmer by Friday. Isolated storms will be possible in Southside. Otherwise, the better chance will be farther east. The jet stream continues to lift north, allowing warmer air to settle in just in time for the weekend.

Upper air pattern by Sunday, June 6th, 2021

If you didn’t get to use the pool last weekend, this weekend looks to be good for you! In fact, with high pressure dominant over the Eastern U.S., we’re thinking summer will kick it into high gear through most of next week.

Climate Prediction Center outlooks through June 11, 2021

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