ROANOKE, Va. – Following a stretch of really nice weather, Monday’s weather takes a bit of a turn. We’ll be overcast at times with cooler air being wedged in at the surface. Most of us will see afternoon temperatures hanging out in the 40s.
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As the air cools at the surface, more rain will move in from the west. This will be patchy at first around 8 p.m. Temperatures may be just cool enough for patches of freezing rain in areas west of the Parkway throughout the overnight.
If there is any ice accumulation, it will be on elevated surfaces. Ground temperatures are too high for any significant issues, thankfully. Tuesday starts wet for some, but showers turn less numerous. High temperatures will once again only reach the 40s.
We should thaw out during St. Patrick’s Day, as the wedge slowly erodes. Highs are expected to generally reach 60-65°.
Most of the day is spent dry, but we have to watch a very strong storm system emerging from the Rockies. The wind around the system is strong, which can help sustain any storms that develop. At the very least, we expect periods of heavy rain Thursday morning.
Localized flooding could become a possibility with 1-3″ of rain in the forecast. The severe weather potential depends on how much instability/thunderstorm fuel there will be. That’s contingent on how warm we get. Keep checking back for updates on that potential throughout the week.
Rounds of light rain will linger on the backside of the storm Friday. Once the storm exits east, we’ll be left cool and dry for the first day of spring (Saturday).
In fact, it could even be cooler than the first day of winter was!