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Virginia high school football playoff projections for fall 2023

Here’s how we see the playoff seedings

(Brett Carlsen, 2018 Getty Images)

ROANOKE, Va. – We’ve reached the end of the regular season of football and now it’s time for the playoffs.

Instead of waiting for the VHSL to update its standings, we’ve used our model, which mimics their formula, to let you know who’s in, who’s out, and what matchups we’ll be seeing next weekend.

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**Please note three adjustments/corrections made since airtime last night : (Brackets have been updated.)

In Region 5C, William Fleming is the 8 seed, and Mills Godwin the 7. That sets up a rematch of the city championship game in Round one. (Fleming vs PH)

In Region 4D, Salem and Jefferson Forest finished tied. Spartans win the tiebreaker and earn home field.

In Region 3C, Alleghany is the 4 seed, Rustburg is the 5. Matchup is the same, but Alleghany Cougars will host. **


Region 5C:

Here’s our projection for this region:

1. Patrick Henry

2. Louisa County

3. Matoaca

4. Hermitage

5. Douglas Freeman

6. L.C. Bird

7. Mills Godwin * one-tenth of a point separates Godwin and Fleming.

8. William Fleming *

Region 5C projections

Region 4D:

Here’s our projection for this region:

1. Salem * Spartans win tiebreaker in dead heat for ratings points.

2. Jefferson Forest *

3. E.C. Glass

4. Millbrook

5. Handley

6. Sherando

7. G.W. Danville

8. Liberty (Bealeton)

Region 4D Bracket

Region 3C :

Here’s our projection for this region:

1. Liberty Christian Academy

2. Turner Ashby

3. Spotswood

4. Alleghany : -- by 1/10 of a ratings point is the 4th seed and will host.

5. Rustburg

6. Monticello

7. Heritage

8. Fluvanna County

Region 3C Bracket

Region 3D

Here’s our projection for this region:

1. Magna Vista

2. William Byrd

3. Lord Botetourt

4. Christiansburg

5. Abingdon

6. Bassett

7. Pulaski County

8. Staunton River

Region 3D projections (WSLS)

Region 2C

Here’s our projection for this region:

1. Radford

2. Gretna

3. Glenvar

4. Appomattox County

5. Chatham

6. Patrick County

7. Floyd County

8. James River

Region 2C projections (WSLS)

Region 1D

Here’s our projection for this region:

1. Honaker

2. Rye Cove

3. Patrick Henry-GS

4. Twin Springs

5. Grundy

6. Chilhowie

7. Eastside

8. Rural Retreat

Region 1D projections (WSLS)

Region 1C

Here’s our projection for this region:

1. Grayson County

2. Narrows

3. George Wythe

4. Bath County

5. Galax

6. Parry McCluer

7. Fort Chiswell

8. Giles

Region 1C projections (WSLS)

Region 1B

Here’s our projection for this region:

1. Sussex Central

2. Altavista

3. Brunswick

4. William Campbell

5. Franklin

6. Surry

7. Rappahannock County

8. Buffalo Gap

Region 1B projections (WSLS)