New poll shows Clinton catching Trump in battleground states, has 12-point lead in Virginia

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ROANOKE (WSLS 10) – A new poll released by Quinnipiac University shows that Donald Trump has lost his lead in the battleground states of George and Iowa to Hillary Clinton.

She holds a slight lead in North Carolina and a double-digit lead in Virginia.

The poll shows that in four-way races, which list both presidential and vice-presidential candidates, except Georgia and North Carolina, where Green Party candidate Jill Stein is not on the ballot, show:

  • Georgia: Trump at 44 percent to Clinton’s 43 percent, with 8 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson. This compares to a 47 – 40 percent Trump lead September 22;
  • Iowa: A 44 – 44 percent Clinton-Trump tie, with 4 percent for Johnson and 1 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Trump led Clinton 44 – 37 percent September 22;
  • North Carolina: Clinton edges Trump 47 – 43 percent, with 5 percent for Johnson. On October 3, Clinton had 46 percent to Trump’s 43 percent;
  • Virginia: Clinton tops Trump 50 – 38 percent, with 4 percent for Johnson and 2 percent for Stein. Clinton was up 45 – 39 percent September 22.

“Virginia, which 12 years ago was a solidly Republican state, is now ‘true blue’ in its presidential ballot and one of the most Democratic states south of the Mason-Dixon line,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Virginia likely voters give Clinton a negative 45 – 53 percent favorability rating, while Trump gets a negative 34 – 61 percent favorability, according to the poll

“One number tells you all you need to know about why Donald Trump is doing so poorly in the Old Dominion: Only 83 percent of Republicans say they are going to vote for him, their own party nominee,” Brown said.

“That’s a very low measure of party unity. It’s fair to say history is not replete with major candidates winning an election in which they got only 83 percent of their own party members,” Brown said. “By comparison, Secretary Clinton is getting 91 percent of the Democratic vote.”
From October 20 – 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed:

  • 707 Georgia likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points;
  • 791 Iowa likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points;
  • 702 North Carolina likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points;
  • 749 Virginia likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percentage points.

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